Category: Economic Topics
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Now Available on Ceteris Lab: Fundamentals of Python for Financial Econometrics
Ceteris Lab has launched a new course titled “Fundamentals of Python for Financial Econometrics.” It’s designed for students and professionals interested in applying Python in economics and finance. The course covers Python fundamentals, data analysis techniques, and econometric modeling, featuring interactive exercises and downloadable resources to enhance learning.
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AI-powered global macro forecasting dashboard
Global Macro Outlook AI is an interactive macroeconomic forecasting and risk-monitoring dashboard for research and education. It tracks country risk, inflation, central bank policy, fiscal conditions, credit cycles, external vulnerability, commodities, forecasting scenarios, AI-style country reports, methodology, and transparent data-source coverage across major economies.
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Research Presentation at CEA 2026, Simon Fraser University
In May 2026, I present my research at the Canadian Economics Association (CEA) 2026 Conference in Vancouver, hosted at Simon Fraser University (SFU). My paper, titled “When Does Government Spending Boost Growth? State Capacity and the Fiscal Multiplier in Developing Economies,” examines how the growth effects of government spending depend on the institutional strength and…
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Interest Rate Outlook for Canada Amid U.S. Tariff Turbulence: What Lies Ahead?
On April 16, 2025, the Bank of Canada maintained its interest rate at 2.75% amid global economic uncertainty due to renewed U.S. tariffs. The BoC outlined two scenarios: one optimistic with potential rate cuts if tariffs are reversed, and another pessimistic involving stagflation and possibly rising rates if tariffs persist.
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Canada at Trade War: How Canada Should Respond to U.S. Tariffs
The Canada-U.S. economic relationship is undergoing significant changes due to Trump’s trade policies, as detailed by economist Dan Ciuriak. Canada faces potential GDP declines and must diversify trade, bolster infrastructure, and modernize policies to enhance resilience and reduce dependence on the U.S. for economic stability and independence.
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How Tariffs Drive Up Housing Costs in Canada
The new tariffs on Canadian energy products and exports will raise costs for businesses and consumers, worsening inflation and housing affordability, particularly in Northeastern Ontario. Short-term impacts include higher construction costs, while long-term effects may push companies to seek alternative trade partners, affecting productivity and job stability. A comprehensive policy response is essential.
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Geoeconomic Risks and Canada’s Economic Outlook: Navigating Uncertainty
The recent analysis by The Conference Board of Canada highlights a growing pessimism among Canadian businesses due to escalating geoeconomic risks. Despite easing inflation and falling interest rates, confidence remains shaky due to looming threats such as an incoming slowdown in population growth and rising tensions with the United States. This uncertainty has led to…
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Impact of Trump Tariffs on Canada’s Economy
The Conference Board of Canada’s report analyzes the economic fallout from proposed U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports. It predicts a 1.3% GDP decline nationally by 2025, with significant job losses and rising inflation. Provinces like Alberta, Saskatchewan, Ontario, and Quebec will face notable reductions in GDP due to various sector impacts.
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Navigating Economic Challenges: Insights from Canada’s Economic Outlook and Global Trends
Introduction Policymakers, companies, and investors must all grasp the intricate interactions between economic factors in today’s dynamic global economy. With an emphasis on Canada’s economic outlook and worldwide trends, this article explores significant revelations from recent economic reports. Strong population growth and expected monetary policy changes have supported Canada’s economy despite obstacles including sticky inflation…